Ford’s Prospects Fall Apart

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) is the only large company that sells cars and light vehicles in the United States that had a decline in sales this month. According to Kelly Blue Book, the drop was 2.4% to 180,000, compared to the same month last year. In the process, Ford’s share of market fell from 16.2% to 14.5%.

Ford has no ready excuse for its performance. KBB claims sales of all new vehicles sold in the United States rose 9.1% to 1,240,000. Based on the performance of other large manufacturers, Ford’s problem is not isolated to competition with just one or two rivals.

September has been a good month for some of the industry’s largest players. General Motors Co.’s (NYSE: GM) sales rose 15.9% to 217,000. Ford’s other large rival, Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM), had a sales increase of 7% to 176,000. And white-hot Chrysler’s sales rose 17.5% to 168,000, as its market share in September hit 13.5%, compared to 12.6% last year.

ALSO READ: Why Is Ford Discounting the F-Series?

Ford’s press releases about monthly sales are often misleading because they only point to good news. The August headline was:

Ford Fusion, Escape Post Best August Sales Ever; Explorer Achieves Best August Performance Since 2004

A little less visible:

Ford Motor Company U.S. sales totaled 222,174 vehicles in August, up 0.4 percent from a year ago and the best August sales in eight years. Retail sales of 178,800 vehicles increased 2 percent, while fleet sales of 43,374 vehicles declined 6 percent.

Up 0.4%, that is all.

Ford’s largest problem is that while sales of some of its most successful models have improved during the first eight months of the year — Fusion, Escape and Explorer — they have only risen by single digits. Sales of other key models — Taurus, C-Max and Edge — have fallen by double digits. Sales of the Ford’s flagship F-Series pickup were down 0.4% to 497,174. By contrast, Chrysler’s full-sized pickup, the Dodge Ram, has done extremely well.

Although its sales are so small that they barely make a difference, Lincoln remains a tiny part of the luxury market.

Ford will need to have one or two more models that sell in the tens of thousands per year and that can post double-digit sales growth to turn itself around. Those models are evidently not available.

ALSO READ: States Where You Can’t Buy a Tesla

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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