Rivian Shares Will Continue to Fall

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Rivian Shares Will Continue to Fall

© Courtesy of Rivian

Shares of electric vehicle (EV) maker Rivian Automotive have fallen 60% this year. Investors should expect that to continue. Like all car manufacturers, it faces higher component prices and a lack of access to the microchips used in its vehicles. However, management continues to bungle how this will affect the company.

Recently, Rivian said its sales would be an extremely disappointing 50,000 for the current year. Quickly, that was revised to 22,000.

One reason investors have concerns about Rivian is that Ford will launch an electric version of its F-Series pickup. The F-Series has been the best-selling vehicle in America for four decades. Based on the vehicle’s popularity, it could be the best-selling electric pickup within a few months of its launch.

Ford is only one among at least a dozen vehicles that will compete with Rivian. Tesla will release its EV truck in less than a year. Every major pickup maker from Toyota to General Motors will have electric trucks in the market within two years or less. Chevy says it will soon launch an electric version of its popular Silverado. These manufacturers will be able to rely on well-known brand names, huge dealer networks and large marketing budgets.
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Wall Street should expect that Rivian will struggle to meet its new forecast. And high-priced components will push prices higher than expected.

Rivian may have a future, but it is hard to paint a picture that shows it as positive.
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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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