The Commerce Department’s Personal Income and Consumer Spending numbers have been released for May 2009 and the numbers were +1.4% on Personal Income and Consumer Spending was Up +0.3%. The income portion was significantly better as Bloomberg had a consensus estimate of +0.4% on income and +0.3% on spending. The prior report for April was +0.5% on income and -0.1% on spending, but these were revise3d to +0.7% on income and unchanged or flat on spending. The Core PCE was listed as +0.1% and estimates were +0.1%. These are surprises, but the personal savings are the largest surprise here.
Personal savings as a percentage of disposable personal income was listed as 6.9% during the month of May. That number looks to be the highest in the last decade.
This is a constant dilemma for what is best for the individual versus what is best for the economy. Higher spending is healthy for the economy. But more savings is healthy for the individual. As long as times are tough and the future is uncertain for many individuals, those who can save are likely to continue saving.
Jon C. Ogg
June 26, 2009