TPL Stock Price Prediction
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Based on 24/7 Wall St.'s proprietary analysis, we are setting a target price of $587.27 for Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) over the next 12 months. This target price suggests a 35.43% upside from the current price of $433.62. In an optimistic scenario, TPL could reach as high as $608.95, while our conservative scenario places the floor at $345.61. Wall Street analyst sentiment shows 1 Buy, 0 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings from 2 analysts covering the stock.
Current Price
$433.62
Target Price
$587.27
Optimistic Scenario
$608.95
Conservative Scenario
$345.61
The Bottom Line
Texas Pacific Land Corporation appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 35.4% upside to our $587.27 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon.
12-Month Price Scenarios
Where TPL could be in one year
This chart shows three potential price paths for TPL over the next 12 months: our Target Price, an Optimistic Scenario, and a Conservative Scenario. Learn how we calculate our price targets →
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Catalysts
Factors that could drive upside
In our optimistic scenario, TPL could reach $608.95 (+40.4% from current price). Key catalysts include:
- Better-than-expected earnings results
- Favorable sector and market conditions
- Positive analyst revisions or upgrades
Risks
Factors that could limit upside
In our conservative scenario, TPL could fall to $345.61 (-20.3% from current price). Key risks include:
- Earnings misses or guidance cuts
- Broader market or economic headwinds
- Increased competition or margin pressure
Analyst Sentiment
2 analysts covering TPL
The 24/7 Factor
Our proprietary price adjustment model
24/7 Wall St.'s stock forecasts utilize a number of factor adjustments that either increase or decrease a stock's 12-month price target. Toggle the factors our model uses on or off below to see how each impacts TPL's share price.
Our Adjustment
1.041×
Adjusted Target
$587.27
Factor Components Toggle to simulate
5-Year Price Projection
Long-term quarterly forecast through 2031
Optimistic Scenario
$963.28
+122.2%
Target Price
$1,020.29
+135.3%
Conservative Scenario
$334.93
-22.8%
Long-term projections factor in increased uncertainty over time.
Frequently Asked Questions
TPL stock price predictions and forecasts
What is the TPL stock price prediction for 2030?
Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects TPL could trade at an average price of $859.81, with a potential range between $644.85 and $1,074.76. This represents a potential 98.3% return from today's price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.
Is TPL a buy, sell, or hold right now?
24/7 Wall St. currently rates TPL as a BUY. Strong upside (+35.4%) Among Wall Street analysts, 1 rate it Buy, 0 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell.
What is the TPL stock price target in an optimistic scenario?
In our optimistic scenario for TPL, the stock could reach $608.95 over the next 12 months, representing a 40.4% gain from today's price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.
What is the downside risk for TPL stock?
In our conservative scenario, TPL could trade as low as $345.61 over the next 12 months, representing a 20.3% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.
How accurate are TPL stock price predictions?
Stock price predictions are forward-looking estimates, not guarantees. Our model for TPL incorporates analyst consensus, valuation metrics, technical indicators, and market sentiment. However, actual stock performance depends on many unpredictable factors including earnings surprises, macroeconomic changes, and market psychology. We provide optimistic and conservative scenarios alongside our target price to illustrate the range of potential outcomes. Always conduct your own research before investing.
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