Q4 25 EPS
$3.86
MISS 6.76%
Est. $4.14
Q4 25 Revenue
$15.58B
BEAT +310.69%
Est. $3.79B
vs S&P Since Q4 25
-19.8%
TRAILING MARKET
COF -15.2% vs S&P +4.6%
Full Year 2025 Results
FY 25 EPS
$4.03
MISS 79.61%
Est. $19.76
FY 25 Revenue
$53.43B
BEAT +0.20%
Est. $53.33B
Market Reaction
Did COF Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Capital One closed Q4 2025 with a mixed result that underscored both the transformative scale of its Discover integration and the near-term costs that come with it, as adjusted EPS of $3.86 missed the $4.14 consensus estimate by 6.76% even as revenue… Read more Capital One closed Q4 2025 with a mixed result that underscored both the transformative scale of its Discover integration and the near-term costs that come with it, as adjusted EPS of $3.86 missed the $4.14 consensus estimate by 6.76% even as revenue of $15.58 billion exceeded expectations and grew 12.8% year over year. The primary driver behind the earnings shortfall was a surge in non-interest expense, which climbed 53% year over year to $9.34 billion, reflecting Discover integration costs, a $352 million integration expense charge, and a sharp 38% sequential jump in marketing spend. The acquisition, completed in May 2025, reshaped Capital One's footprint dramatically, with period-end credit card loans expanding 72% year over year to $279.57 billion and net interest margin improving 123 basis points from the prior-year period to 8.26%. Looking ahead, the company's announced agreement to acquire Brex Inc. For $5.15 billion signals that management is far from finished building, with analysts broadly maintaining a constructive view on the stock's long-term upside as integration synergies take hold.
Key Takeaways
- • Discover acquisition completed May 2025 driving 53% YoY revenue growth
- • Net interest margin expansion to 8.26% reflecting higher-yielding card portfolio
- • Credit card period-end loans increased 72% YoY to $279.6 billion
- • Auto period-end loans grew 9% YoY to $83.6 billion
- • Non-interest income increased 49% YoY driven by discount and interchange fees
- • Deposit growth of 31% YoY to $475.8 billion
COF YoY Financials
Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024, source: SEC Filings
COF Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“Our fourth quarter and full year results reflect solid top line growth and strong and stable credit performance”
— Richard D. Fairbank, Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release
COF Earnings Trends
COF vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
COF EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
COF Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
COF Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | $4.42 | — | $15.23B | — |
| Q4 25 MISS FY | $4.14 | $3.86 | -6.76% | $15.58B | +310.69% |
| FY Full Year | $19.76 | $4.03 | -79.61% | $53.43B | +0.20% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $4.36 | $4.83 | +10.73% | $15.36B | +1.83% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $3.56 | $5.48 | +54.02% | $12.49B | -1.61% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $3.65 | $4.06 | +11.19% | $10.00B | -0.49% |