Q4 25 EPS
$-0.34
BEAT +33.33%
Est. $-0.51
Q4 25 Revenue
$9.46B
vs S&P Since Q4 25
+51.1%
BEATING MARKET
DOW +54.9% vs S&P +3.8%
Full Year 2025 Results
FY 25 EPS
$-0.94
BEAT +8.36%
Est. $-1.03
FY 25 Revenue
$39.97B
MISS 0.02%
Est. $39.98B
Market Reaction
Did DOW Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Dow closed out a punishing 2025 with a fourth quarter that offered modest relief against low expectations, posting an adjusted loss of $0.34 per share against a consensus estimate of negative $0.51, a 33.33% beat, even as the underlying business rema… Read more Dow closed out a punishing 2025 with a fourth quarter that offered modest relief against low expectations, posting an adjusted loss of $0.34 per share against a consensus estimate of negative $0.51, a 33.33% beat, even as the underlying business remained under significant strain. Revenue of $9.46 billion came in just a hair below the $9.47 billion analysts had anticipated, down 9.1% from a year earlier, as local prices fell 8% year-over-year and operating EBIT collapsed to $33 million from $454 million in Q4 2024. The steepest damage came from Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, which swung to an operating EBIT loss of $201 million, weighed down by worsening equity losses at Kuwait MEG joint ventures. A $1.30 billion charge for significant items, including a $671 million goodwill impairment in Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals, pushed the GAAP net loss to $1.48 billion for the quarter. Looking ahead, CEO Jim Fitterling pointed to the company's "Transform to Outperform" initiative, targeting at least $2 billion in additional near-term earnings, with Dow already delivering more than $400 million in accelerated cost savings. The company also declared its 458th consecutive quarterly dividend at $0.35 per share.
Key Takeaways
- • Local price declined 8% year-over-year across all segments
- • Volume decreased 2% year-over-year, led by lower merchant olefins sales in EMEAI
- • Lower integrated margins and reduced operating rates pressured profitability
- • Cost reduction program delivered over $400 million in savings from the $1 billion target
- • Goodwill impairment of $690 million related to Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals
- • Non-cash pension settlement charges of $323 million from termination of U.S. and U.K. pension plans
- • Asset-related impairment charges of $303 million for chlor-alkali, propylene oxide and brine production in Latin America
- • Idling of a cracker in EMEAI earlier in 2025 reduced merchant olefins volumes
DOW YoY Financials
Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024, source: SEC Filings
DOW Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
DOW Revenue by Geography
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“Dow's self-help measures continue to gain traction and were evident in our fourth quarter results. In 2025, we achieved well over half of our more than $6.5 billion in near-term cash and cost support actions, including the accelerated delivery of more than $400 million in cost savings from our $1 billion program. As we move forward, Transform to Outperform represents a comprehensive and radical simplification of our operating model. It aims to deliver step-change productivity across every business and function and growth with our customers. We expect these efforts to provide at least $2 billion in additional near-term earnings while helping Dow set new competitive standards and improve shareholder returns.”
— Jim Fitterling, Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release
DOW Earnings Trends
DOW vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
DOW EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
DOW Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
DOW Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | $-0.14 | — | $9.79B | +1.39% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $-0.51 | $-0.34 | +33.33% | $9.46B | — |
| FY Full Year | $-1.03 | $-0.94 | +8.36% | $39.97B | -0.02% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $-0.30 | $-0.19 | +36.84% | $9.97B | -2.49% |
| Q2 25 MISS | $-0.17 | $-0.42 | -146.19% | $10.10B | -1.20% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $-0.01 | $0.02 | +249.25% | $10.43B | +1.66% |