Q3 26 EPS
$3.74
MISS 2.45%
Est. $3.83
Q3 26 Revenue
$41.35B
BEAT +0.56%
Est. $41.12B
vs S&P Since Q3 26
-14.1%
TRAILING MARKET
HD -5.0% vs S&P +9.2%
Market Reaction
Did HD Beat Earnings? Q3 2026 Results
Home Depot delivered a mixed third quarter for fiscal 2025, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $3.74 that missed the $3.83 consensus estimate by 2.45%, even as revenue of $41.35 billion edged past expectations by 0.56% and grew 2.8% year-over-year. The … Read more Home Depot delivered a mixed third quarter for fiscal 2025, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $3.74 that missed the $3.83 consensus estimate by 2.45%, even as revenue of $41.35 billion edged past expectations by 0.56% and grew 2.8% year-over-year. The key culprit behind the earnings shortfall was a combination of absent storm activity, persistent housing market pressure, and a consumer spending environment that has yet to recover its appetite for big-ticket home improvement projects, with comparable sales barely turning positive at 0.2%. The recently acquired GMS Inc. Contributed roughly $900 million in incremental revenue over approximately eight weeks, helping lift the top line even as acquisition-related amortization of $158 million weighed on margins, compressing adjusted operating margin to 13.3% from 13.8% a year ago. Looking ahead, management now expects total sales to grow approximately 3.0% for fiscal 2025, with adjusted diluted EPS declining roughly 5.0% from last year's $15.24, a guidance reset that prompted at least one major Wall Street firm to trim its price target while maintaining a buy rating.
Key Takeaways
- • GMS acquisition contributed approximately $900 million in sales over ~8 weeks in Q3
- • Comparable average ticket increased 1.8% year-over-year
- • Lack of storm activity in Q3 created greater than expected pressure in certain categories
- • Comparable customer transactions declined 1.6%
- • Consumer uncertainty and continued housing pressure disproportionately impacting home improvement demand
- • Expected demand increase in Q3 did not materialize
HD YoY Financials
Q3 2026 vs Q3 2025, source: SEC Filings
“Our results missed our expectations primarily due to the lack of storms in the third quarter, which resulted in greater than expected pressure in certain categories. Additionally, while underlying demand in the business remained relatively stable sequentially, an expected increase in demand in the third quarter did not materialize. We believe that consumer uncertainty and continued pressure in housing are disproportionately impacting home improvement demand.”
— Ted Decker, Q3 2026 Earnings Press Release
HD Earnings Trends
HD vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
HD EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
HD Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
HD Quarterly Results
6 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 26 BEAT FY | $2.52 | $2.72 | +7.94% | $38.20B | +0.21% |
| FY Full Year | $14.50 | $14.69 | +1.30% | $164.68B | +0.05% |
| Q3 26 MISS | $3.83 | $3.74 | -2.45% | $41.35B | +0.56% |
| Q2 26 MISS | $4.69 | $4.68 | -0.31% | $45.28B | -0.07% |
| Q1 26 MISS | $3.59 | $3.56 | -0.81% | $39.86B | +1.55% |
| Q4 23 | $2.77 | — | — | — | — |
| Q1 23 BEAT | $3.80 | $3.82 | +0.53% | $37.26B | -2.68% |