The June reading for the Consumer Price Index, the measure for retail inflation, is a bit different than the Producer Price Index hike seen yesterday. The headline CPI came in at +0.7% and the core-CPI came in at +0.2%. Consensus estimates from Bloomberg were +0.7% on the headline CPI and +0.1% on the core-CPI measuring ex-food and energy.
Where this gets interesting is that the year-over-year drop came in at -1.4%. When you compare this to the PPI yesterday it leads you to one of two conclusions. The first is that th ein energy prices has already mitigated any impact of the producer-side from May to June. The second is that producers and wholesalers do not believe that they can pass on higher costs to Joe Public.
Energy prices were up 7.4% in June compared to May, but they were down a whopping 25.5% over the last 12 months.
Jon C. Ogg