Rite Aid Joins Serious Turnaround List for 2013

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
By Jon C. Ogg Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

It was just at the end of last week that we offered up a list of the greatest turnaround prospects for 2013. Rite Aid Corp. (NYSE: RAD) would have been on the list, but its shares had just been clipped hard in the days prior due to weak store sales trends. Now Rite Aid may be closer to its turnaround than it was before after the company’s first annual profit in about six years or so.

The report was actually the second profitable report in a row, aided by generic drugs and prescriptions. Lower expenses then added as well. While fourth-quarter earnings came to $0.13 per share versus a net loss of $0.18 per share a year earlier, sales were down 10% to less than $6.5 billion. The company is facing a challenge now on the sales front due to front-end being marginally up and pharmacy sales being down. That is somewhat a change from brand drugs to generics because the prescriptions filled were up more than 3%.

Where this story gets more interesting to us is that Rite Aid is targeting a profitable year ahead with earnings of $0.04 to $0.20 per share and sales of $24.9 billion to $25.3 billion.

Our biggest thing to say here is that Rite Aid shareholders have substantial upside possibilities if the drug store chain can keep its earnings driving north and can somehow keep lowering its costs.

Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) has a market cap north of $46 billion and annual sales ahead are expected to be about $72.6 billion, according to Thomson Reuters. That comes to about 0.63-times revenue. At $3.28 in projected earnings per share, this has a projected P/E ratio of almost 15. Walgreen also has years of profitability.

Now take the case of Rite Aid. Its market cap is $1.9 billion or so, and that is after today’s 17% gain to $2.10. If you take $25 billion in projected sales against a $1.9 billion market cap, then Rite Aid only trades at just under 0.08 times sales. Of course there is a huge disparity between earnings with Rite Aid barely being profitable in one year and having years and years of losses, the numbers just cannot be compared. If you still try to make the numbers go head to head, that values each dollar of sales at Walgreen worth about eight times the same dollar valuation as Rite Aid.

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618