Tilray Inc. (NASDAQ: TLRY) is scheduled to release its most recent quarterly results after the markets close on Monday. The consensus estimates call for a net loss of $0.35 per share and $55.38 million in revenue. Last year’s fourth quarter reportedly had a net loss of $0.31 per share and $15.53 million in revenue.
In the third-quarter report, the company saw its revenues increase by 408.6% year over year, driven by the Canadian adult-use market, the Manitoba Harvest acquisition and growth in international medical markets as a result of the first GMP certification of the Portugal facility.
Also at that time, total kilogram equivalents sold increased over sixfold to 10,848 kilograms, from 1,613 kilograms in the prior-year period.
The average net selling price per gram decreased to $3.25 from $6.21 in the prior-year period. The average net selling price excluding excise taxes for adult-use was $2.98 per gram for the third quarter of 2019. The decrease was due to a shift in product and channel mix.
Looking ahead, 2020 cannabis sales may suffer, according to a recent analyst report from Cowen’s Vivien Azer. In the report, she suggests that cannabis sales may only reach $3.2 billion for the year, nearly a third lower than her original estimate. The question is whether Tilray will continue to see explosive growth in the fourth quarter and the 2020 full year.
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Here’s what analysts had to say ahead of the report:
- Cantor Fitzgerald has a Neutral rating and a $19.50 price target.
- Merrill Lynch has a Neutral rating with a $20 target price.
- Cowen’s Market Perform rating comes with a $20 price target.
- Roth Capital has a Hold rating.
Excluding Monday’s move, Tilray stock had underperformed the broad markets with a retreat of about 16% year to date. In the past 52 weeks, the stock was down closer to 82%.
Tilray stock traded down nearly 5% Monday morning to $13.75, in a 52-week range of $13.20 to $79.99. The consensus price target is $24.00.
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