From Ticker Sense
While we wait over the next two days for the Fed’s ultimate decision regarding interest rates and the wording of their statement, we thought we would share the following chart which summarizes one of the key factors policy-makers will be considering over the next two days- inflation.
Over the last seven years, overall prices as measured by the CPI have risen about 21%. Of that gain, the cost of shelter is responsible for over 40%, followed by transportation and food and beverages, with each comprising about 14% of the total gain.
On the plus side, the fact that real estate prices are flat-lining (or in some cases falling) and energy prices have been declining bodes well for the inflation outlook in the shelter and transportation components. On the negative side, the rising prices for food and beverages are probably on the minds of Fed governors as a red flag.
