Non-farm Payrolls increased a mere 18,000 jobs versus an expected 50,000 and the unemployment rate rose to 5.0% from 4.7% in November. Hourly earnings rose 0.4%. It also looks like the the total number of people working fell 436,000 in December. The November non-farm payrolls were actually revised higher to 115,000 from 94,000.
This follows suit with that Monster online reading yesterday. If the labor market doesn’t hold strong then the economy isn’t going to be able to avoid the dreaded "R WORD" if this continues. It isn’t like retail or credit is starting to show an help, and in fact they are getting worse and worse.
The DJIA futures were up slightly before this release, and after the release they fell almost 100 points. The FOMC will now have to look harder at a 50-basis point cut whether it wants to or not, or so goes the trader mentality.
Jon C. Ogg
January 4, 2008