The Return Of The Lay-Off Economy (GM)(S)(C)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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The worst part of the recession cycle is beginning. News from several big sectors like retail, housing, and automotive has already turned bad.

In the last two days, Sprint (S) and GM (GM) have said that they plan to cut thousands of jobs. Citigroup (C) will take out thousands more. Other financial services firms are likely to announce significant lay-offs between now and the end of the month.

Even the tech sector may get "down-sized". Nokia (NOK) has fired 2,300 people in Europe this week. Struggling companies like AMD (AMD), Nortel (NT), and Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) may take out another slice.

When the market looks back at the first quarter of 2008 it may see a surfeit of dismissals. Companies often cut more than they absolutely have to so that they don’t need to go at it again in another quarter.

The Fed has a chance to head some of this off. A rate cut of half a percent won’t do it. Three-quarters might save tens of thousands of jobs. Corporations need a reason to believe that the downturn will be relatively brief. A quarter or two of poor results may be OK. A year of losses will not be.

It would not be shocking if the 1,000 largest companies in the US drop 500,000 people this quarter. The Fed might save some of those jobs.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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