High PPI More Honest Than CPI, FOMC Has To Look Past It

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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This morning we saw February Producer Prices come out with a gain of +0.3%, and that is after a +1% gain in January.  The core rate on an ex-food and energy basis rose +0.5%.  We had penciled in estimates from Bloomberg as +0.4% expected on nominal PPI and +0.2% on Core PPI.

If you take everything into consideration, what it really looks like is that the Labor Department was just more realistic on PPI than it was on CPI with that seemingly wrong FLAT release on Friday.

Some may say that this should give the FOMC some pause over an expect 1.0% rate cut on the Fed Funds rate.  The problem is that inflation is taking the backseat to a crippled consumer and a credit strapped nation that can’t refinance out of mortgages that are too high of rates on too high of an appraised house on a higher basis than they should have ever been approved for.  The Fed is going to have to hold its nose, forget about the US Dollar becoming the US Peso, and hit the CUT button big either way.

Jon C. Ogg
March 18, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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