Durable Goods Prove to Be Very Durable in March

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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Were prior reports on durable goods kept lower due to weather? It seems so. The March durable goods report from the Department of Commerce came in at a headline reading of 2.6%. Bloomberg was calling for a reading of only 2.0%, and its range from economists was flat to 3.5%. New orders for manufactured durable goods were up by $6 billion to $234.8 billion.

If you back out transportation, the reading was 2.0%. That was also above the 0.9% expected from the Bloomberg consensus reading. The range on ex-transportation was 0.2% to 1.2%. This was the biggest gain in over a year.

If you look at the key business spending reading — the non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft — it was up by 2.2% in March. This was the biggest gain since last November.

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Shipments of manufactured durable goods in March rose by $2.5 billion, or 1.1%, to $236.6 billion. This followed a 1.0% increase during the month of February.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods, up 11 of the past 12 months, increased $1.9 billion (or by 0.5%) in March to $394.1 billion, the highest level since the series was first published, on a NAICS basis. That followed a 0.8% gain during the month of February.

As a reminder, the durable goods report each month is one of the most volatile of all economic readings. With so many large ticket items, the results can fluctuate wildly even in expansion and contraction periods.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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