Big Surprise in Durable Goods

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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Durable goods is generally considered to be one of the most volatile economic reports issued each month. The Commerce Department also showed that durable goods was very strong on the headline data, but not so strong when you back out key transportation ticket items.

April’s headline durable goods reading was up by 0.8%, much higher than the Dow Jones estimate of -0.7% and the Bloomberg consensus estimate of -0.8%. Durables were only up by 0.1% on an ex-transportation basis. Bloomberg had that estimate at -0.1%.

The transportation segment inside durable goods was up by 2.3% in April, but this was led by a 13.1% gain in defense aircraft orders.

Another key reading is the non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, and this report fell by 1.2% in April. This segment’s shipments were down by 0.4% as well.

Where the report’s impact gets a bit complicated is that the headline report for March was revised up to 3.6% from a previous report of being up 2.5%.

Stocks have remained in positive territory on Tuesday morning, so the report is not creating many waves.

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Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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