Is there inflation or not? That is just one of the million-dollar questions out there right now? We will find out on Friday morning at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time when the U.S. Labor Department reports the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month of July. As a reminder, this is PPI reading now measures Final Demand.
Bloomberg estimates July’s PPI reading to come in as a gain of 0.1%. At issue is whether or not June’s hot gain of 0.4% was an anomaly or whether it was the start of something worse. We would point out that oil prices have backed off handily since the $104 and higher levels in June, and that may change the mood toward whether inflation was hot or not. in fact, in July oil prices fell $102 down to under $100 for part of the month. The last big leg down was from $100 to $96, but that was after the July period.
To keep things in perspective, May’s reading was down by -0.2%.
The more important reading is the so-called Core-PPI, which is the PPI excluding food and energy. Bloomberg is calling for a gain of only 0.1% in July once you back out the more volatile components.
As a reminder, the BLS switched to measuring the Final Demand-Intermediate Demand aggregation system from the Stage of Processing method beginning with the January PPI report (from mid-February). This still has economists, investors, and market watchers a bit confused to what each report really means.
Want to Retire Early? Start Here (Sponsor)
Want retirement to come a few years earlier than you’d planned? Or are you ready to retire now, but want an extra set of eyes on your finances?
Now you can speak with up to 3 financial experts in your area for FREE. By simply clicking here you can begin to match with financial professionals who can help you build your plan to retire early. And the best part? The first conversation with them is free.
Click here to match with up to 3 financial pros who would be excited to help you make financial decisions.
Have questions about retirement or personal finance? Email us at [email protected]!
By emailing your questions to 24/7 Wall St., you agree to have them published anonymously on a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.
By submitting your story, you understand and agree that we may use your story, or versions of it, in all media and platforms, including via third parties.
Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.