Labor Department Unemployment and Payrolls Get Curveball From ADP and TrimTabs

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
By Jon C. Ogg Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Friday’s unemployment and payrolls report from the U.S. Labor Department just became a lot more difficult to predict. ADP posted a very weak economic report on its payrolls for March, while TrimTabs showed a much larger reading.

ADP showed that 189,000 jobs were added in private sector in the month of March 2015. Separately, the ADP Small Business Report announced 108,000 jobs added, while the National Franchise Report announced 20,000 jobs added. ADP is based solely on private sector jobs, and it generally pertains to small and mid-sized businesses that use ADP rather than rely on their own HR departments entirely.

TrimTabs has now projected that the U.S. economy added 268,000 jobs in March, up from between 215,000 and 245,000 jobs in February — with the note that the labor market is gradually breaking out of its winter slowdown and that job growth last month was the strongest in four months. TrimTabs’ employment estimates are based on analysis of daily income tax deposits to the U.S. Treasury from the paychecks of the 140 million U.S. workers subject to withholding.

Bloomberg is calling for total nonfarm payrolls to be up 247,000 in March. Its private sector payrolls estimate is a tad lower at 247,000.

ALSO READ: Cities With the Highest (and Lowest) Unemployment

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618