Will Donald Trump win the Republican nomination at the convention in Cleveland, which runs from July 18 to 21? According to odds and gambling company Pivit, Trump’s chances are 71%.
Other candidates’ odds are well below Trump’s. Ted Cruz is at 20%. John Kasich is at 4%. Marco Rubio is at 1%, the same as Mitt Romney, the nominee four years ago, who is not even running this year (except perhaps against Trump, based on his recent attacks of the frontrunner).
One reason Trump’s odds are so high is his current delegate count of 458, against the 1,237 needed. Cruz’s delegate count is 359, to Rubio’s 151 and Kasich’s 54.
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The other major reason for the heavy odds for Trump is the polls. Real Clear Politics posts an average of major polls. Its most recent data collection shows, on a nationwide basis, Trump at 40.3%, Rubio at 24.7%, Cruz at 17.4% and Kasich at 8%.
24/7 Wall St. recently examined Which Stocks to Buy and Which to Sell If Donald Trump Wins the White House, with an eye particularly on what to expect from health insurance stocks, gun stocks and defense stocks.
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