Number of Thanksgiving Travelers Will Hit 54 Million, Most Since 2005

By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Jan 11, 3:12PM EST · Published Nov 8, 8:31AM EST

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Number of Thanksgiving Travelers Will Hit 54 Million, Most Since 2005 — © Thinkstock

The number of people who will travel over the Thanksgiving weekend is forecast to reach 54.3 million, the highest number in 13 years. The estimate is based on people who will travel between Wednesday, Nov. 21 to Sunday, Nov. 25, and who will go more than 50 miles from home. It is the highest number since 2005, just before the Great Recession.

The AAA commissioned analytics firm INRIX to compile the numbers and also to look at peak driving and airport travel times by major city. The research also shows the top destinations for travelers.

The 54 million traveler number is up 4.8% from last year. The AAA attributes most of the increase to the strengthening economy. Bill Sutherland, AAA Travel senior vice president, points out:

Consumers have a lot to be thankful for this holiday season: higher wages, more disposable income, and rising levels of household wealth. This is translating into more travelers kicking off the holiday season with a Thanksgiving getaway, building on a positive year for the travel industry.

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Those traveling will journey by car, plane, train, bus and cruise ship. INRIX forecasts this will break out to 48.5 million who will travel by car, up 5% from 2017. It expects 4.27 million people will travel by plane, up 5.4% from last year. Travel by trains, buses and cruise ships is forecast to reach 1.48 million passengers, up 1.4% from 2017.

Drivers in several large cities will hit traffic jams. INRIX expects evening computes over the period to surge as much as fourfold over normal times in San Francisco, New York City and Boston. Trevor Reed, transportation analyst at INRIX, cautioned: “Our advice to drivers is to avoid commuting times in major cities altogether or plan alternative routes.” In most cities, the worst auto traveling day will be Sunday.

Driving times to airports will spike in several big cities. Worst among these will be Denver, Dallas, San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Charlotte, Las Vegas, Seattle and Chicago.

The AAA also forecast the top 10 cities that will be travel destinations based on the number of visitors:

Orlando, Florida
New York, New York
Anaheim, California
Punta Cana, Dominican Republic
Las Vegas, Nevada
Cancun, Mexico
Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas
Honolulu, Hawaii
Washington, D.C.
Miami, Florida

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.