It looks like Joe Public isn’t the only one who thought oil and gas prices were through the roof. It seems that some of the big boys started locking-in prices that seemed extremely high. This is called hedging or collaring, but we have seen fresh announcements from teh likes of Atlas Pipeline Partners LP (NYSE:APL), Tesoro (NYSE:TSO), and Plains Exploration and Production (NYSE:PXP).
Atlas Pipeline Partners LP (NYSE:APL) announced yesterday that it would discontinue its current hedging strategy in favor of returning to a strategy it had followed until June 2007. The company had hedged about 86% of its natural gas liquids production using crude oil derivative contracts. Because crude oil prices are skyrocketing, the hedges have become "less effective." The terminated contracts run through the next six quarters. Atlas raised its guidance from $1.90-$2.00 per common unit to $2.00-$2.20. That’s the good news.
The not-so-good news is that Atlas will take a charge against earnings of about $10 million for the second quarter, with a total dollar loss on the derivative contracts of approximately $250 million. The stock price is up less than 0.1% in early trading.
Tesoro (NYSE:TSO), an independent refiner/marketer, has also closed its crude oil derivative positions and expects a charge against earnings this quarter of $125 million. The company also lowered guidance by $0.30-$0.50, blaming the change on high energy costs. The refining business is not getting any easier.
Finally today, Plains Exploration and Production (NYSE:PXP) announced that it had acquired crude oil puts on 40,000 b/d of production for 2009 and 2010. The average deferred premium plus interest on the 2009 contracts is $6.19 per barrel and the strike price is $106.16 per barrel. The 2010 contracts carry a strike price of $111.49 per barrel, and an averaged deferred premium plus interest of $12.08 per barrel. Plains also acquired $10-$20 collars on 150 million cubic feet of natural gas production for 2008 and 2009. The company plans to use marked-to-market accounting for these hedges.
There are a couple of morals to these stories. First, try not to be a refining/marketing company. That one’s pretty obvious. Second, crude oil derivative contracts are not effective hedges in the current market. Their cost is too high and the continuously rising cost of crude almost guarantees that the hedge will be ineffective. Expect more of this kind of news from almost every oil and gas company that hedges physical barrels.
Paul Ausick
June 17, 2008
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