Some Good News for Cheniere Energy, Finally (LNG, CQP, JPM)

For the past two months, all the news from Cheniere Energy (AMEX:LNG) has been bad. First, there was the triple whammy. Then there was an awful earnings report for Cheniere and its spin-off, Cheniere Energy Partners (AMEX:CQP). Last, the company’s stock hit a 52-week low on May 9th, and has dropped as low as $3.65/share since then.

Cheniere shares hit a high of $5.05 today on the company’s announcement that it has reached a marketing agreement for its re-gasified LNG at the Sabine Pass terminal. Cheniere Partners reached $9.42 earlier today, before backing off to $9.12 currently. A subsidiary of J.P. Morgan (NYSE:JPM), J.P. Morgan Ventures Energy Corporation, will purchase LNG cargoes from Cheniere as soon as the LNG gets to Sabine Pass. In return, the JPM energy group acquires some storage and re-gasification capacity from Cheniere. The mother ship, JPM, guarantees all the energy group’s financial obligations.

This is the first good news the Cheniere companies have had in some time. It does reduce their earnings potential, but the companies were so short of cash that their ability to pay for LNG cargoes was questionable. Now, however, the deal with Morgan frees Cheniere from life support. The agreement probably won’t have any impact in the second quarter, where analysts are estimating Cheniere’s loss at $1.12/share. But estimated third quarter losses of $1.29/share will almost certainly be revised downward.

Paul Ausick
June 27, 2008