Today’s FT energy blog includes a post claiming that China is responsible for recent rises in crude prices because it is building its strategic petroleum reserve. The post cites satellite imagery showing more tanker traffic into Chinese ports near strategic reserve storage tanks.
This is not news. China’s intentions in this regard have been well known for at least two years, and as recently as last December the Chinese government noted that falling crude prices presented a good opportunity to fill the country’s newly built strategic reserve tanks.
We noted then a report from the St. Louis Fed that even if China filled every strategic tank it had, that would only amount to 24 million barrels. That amount would increase demand by just 0.125 percent. It’s really hard to see how that could drive crude prices from $35/barrel to $60/barrel. No, it’s impossible to see how that could happen.
Paul Ausick