Chevron Expects Improved Profits on Refining Gains (CVX, BP, XOM, COP)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) has released its interim update for the 2010 second quarter ahead of its earnings release scheduled for July 30th. Chevron expects earnings to rise about first quarter earnings on “significantly higher” results in its downstream operations, which includes refining and marketing.

Chevron’s release is the first information investors have seen about the results of the major integrated oil companies. The most closely watched earnings report will be that from BP plc (NYSE: BP), due out on July 27th. ConocoPhillips Corp. (NYSE: COP) reports second quarter earnings on July 28th, and Exxon Mobil Corp. announces earnings on July 29th.

Through the end of May, Chevron produced 714,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the US, up from 700,000 for the full second quarter of 2009. The average spot price for WTI in 2009 was $59.61/b compared with $77.91 in the second quarter of 2010. International production, including synthetic crude from the Canadian oil sands, totaled 2.03 million barrels of oil equivalent through May, compared with 1.97 million barrels through the full second quarter a year ago. The average spot price/barrel of Brent crude rose to $78.24, compared with $59.13 a year ago.

Looking at Chevron’s natural gas operations, the company’s average realization for the first two months of the quarter were $3.96/thousand cubic feet, down from $5.29 in the first quarter, but up from the 2009 second quarter price of $3.27.

Refinery inputs are on track to surpass 2009 volumes and refining margins on the Gulf coast increased from $13.46/b in 2009 to $21.65/b this year. Refining margins rose everywhere else as well, but not as dramatically. Marketing margins also improved year-over-year in every region.

Chevron also noted that its downstream earnings will benefit from a more favorable currency exchange rate and the timing effects of declining commodity prices.

In operational terms, the other major integrated oil companies’ should show similar results. Crude prices are up, so upstream revenues will be up and profits will rise. Downstream, refining margins are up, finally.

Paul Ausick

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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