Warmer Weather Dampens Natural Gas Demand, Price Tumbles

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By Paul Ausick Updated Published
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The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Thursday morning that U.S. natural gas stocks decreased by 22 billion cubic feet for the week ending November 28. That compared with an expected decrease in a range of 35 billion to 50 billion cubic feet anticipated by analysts.

Natural gas futures for January delivery were trading down about 1.7% in advance of the EIA’s report, at around $3.74 per million BTUs, and slipped further to around $3.69 (up about 0.6% for the day) immediately following the report. Natural gas futures have slipped by about $0.85 per million BTUs since last week.

Winter temperatures have taken a break from the chill before the Thanksgiving holiday and warmer weather is expected to remain into next week. Demand for heating will also moderate, especially in the heavily populated Northeast. The western half of the country and the South are both expected to have warmer-than-normal temperatures, while the upper Midwest is this week’s cold spot.

Stockpiles are about 6.2% below their levels of a year ago and about 9.8% below the five-year average. On a percentage basis, stockpiles were larger last week than they were the week before.

The EIA reported that U.S. working stocks of natural gas totaled 3.41 trillion cubic feet, about 372 billion cubic feet below the five-year average of 3.78 trillion cubic feet and 227 billion cubic feet below last year’s total for the same period. Working gas in storage totaled 3.64 trillion cubic feet for the same period a year ago.

Here is how stocks of the largest U.S. natural gas producers reacted to this latest report:

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the country’s largest producer of natural gas, is down about 1.9% at $93.14 in a 52-week range of $86.91 to $104.76.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) was down about 1.3%, at $19.65 in a 52-week range of $16.69 to $29.92.

EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG) was down about 1.1% to $90.79. The 52-week range is $78.01 to $118.89.

The United States Natural Gas ETF (NYSEMKT: UNG) was down about 2.8%, at $18.81 in a 52-week range of $18.73 to $27.89. The low was set earlier in the day.

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About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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