Futures for Brent crude continue to move closer to $100. Saudi Arabia’s oil minister said that the $100 level would be ideal for his nation’s finances, and, he believes those of the portion of the world that imports oil. Also weighing on futures is the financial fate of the EU and the growing recession there.
For the time being, the beneficiaries of the drop in prices are large consuming nations like the US, China, and India. The crippled economy in Europe has more than offset concerns about supply because of tensions over Iran, and lower output from refineries. But, the apparent advantage for the US cuts another way. The slowdown in Europe which has pushed oil down means that US exports to the same regions will begin to fall. Corporate earnings for the first quarter from a number of multinationals show the process has already begun.
Douglas A. McIntyre