Analysts Bail on WellPoint After Guidance Cut (WLP, UNH, AET)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) lowered guidance last night and put 2008 EPS targets at a new range of $5.76 to $6.01 EPS from an original $6.41 estimates.  It also put revenues at $62 Billion, yet First Call estimates were $63.5 Billion.  The company cited medical costs running above plan, lower than expected fully covered insurance enrollment, and the overall slowing economic environment.

What is interesting here is that analysts have abandoned the health benefits company.  It seems maybe insurers aren’t going to be immune from the economic downturn after all.  So far we have seen several downgrades and negative calls, and you can imagine that with 3 hours to the open there will be more downgrades or at least lowered targets from more firms.  Here are the downgrades seen so far:

  • cut to Peer Perform at Bear Stearns;
  • cut to Neutral at Goldman Sachs;
  • cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.

Aetna (NYSE: AET)just reiterated its prior quarterly and annual guidance targets after WellPoint dropped the bomb.  Aetna shares are still indicated lower by almost 5% to $43.00 after a $46.51 close yesterday.  Its 52-week trading range is $39.02 to $60.00.

UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) has so far not issued any statement nor revised any targets, yet its shares are indicated down 5% or more in pre-market trading around $42.00.  It closed at $45.07 yesterday, and its 52-week trading range is $44.00 to $59.46.

WellPoint shares are indicated down under $55.00 this morning, which would be close to a 16% drop.  Its 52-week high is $90.00 and analysts had a $96 target before the ball got dropped after the close yesterday.  More cuts are coming.

Jon C. Ogg
March 11, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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