Picking Apart Gilead Ahead of Earnings (GILD)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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After today’s close, we’ll get to see earnings out of Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD). The estimates for the biopharmaceutical company from First Call are $0.48 EPS on $1.22 billion in revenues.  Next quarter estimates are $0.45 EPS on $1.22 billion in revenues. Estimates for fiscal Dec-2008 are $1.90 EPS on $5.08 billion in revenues.

Analysts have an average price target north of $54.00.  Interestingly enough, options traders appear to only be expecting a move of up to $1.40 to $1.55 in either direction.  At $51.80, shares are incredibly higher than the 200-day moving average of $43.61 and also well above the 50-day moving average of $47.97.

Gilead’s regiments for treating AIDS, HIV, Flu, hepatitis, bacteria, hypertension, and more have all quietly helped the company become a biotech giant with a market cap of $48 Billion after a 10-fold to 20-fold return this decade.

Gilead has a habit of beating earnings expectations overall, andanalysts have taken its earnings estimates higher during a time whenmost sectors are seeing analysts lower estimates.  While this has seena major stock performance, it is expected that the company will have16% earnings growth and 18% revenue growth from 2008 to 2009.

Gilead Sciences Inc.’s 52-week trading range is $35.22 to $53.20.  After seeing a major return in the company this decade with very few disappointments, it would be easy to try picking apart the company in the currently more cautious environment. But its performance and growth so far have spoken for themselves, and all of its treatments seem to be protected from the economy along with most biotechs.

Jon C. Ogg
April 16, 2008

Jon Ogg produces the Special Situation Investing Newsletter.  He can be reached at [email protected] and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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