Mini Earnings Season on Deck Thursday (PALM, ACN, MU, LEN, CAG, FINL, JTX, TIBX)

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Thursday is shaping up to be a miniature one-day version earnings season this week.  This is likely the last of the major earnings reports we’ll see for another three or four weeks until the real earnings season for Q2-2009 kicks off.  On deck are the likes of Palm Inc. (NASDAQ: PALM), Accenture Ltd. (NYSE: ACN), Micron Tech Inc. (NYSE: MU), Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), ConAgra Foods, Inc. (NYSE: CAG), Finish Line (NASDAQ: FINL), Jackson Hewitt Tax Service Inc. (NYSE: JTX), and TIBCO Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TIBX).  Below are preview summaries for each company’s expectations and supporting notes.

Palm Inc. (NASDAQ: PALM) is perhaps the single largest standout stock of the group and this report will mark the end of its Fiscal 2009 year.  Be advised that the Palm Pre launch is NOT going to be a part of the report for the past quarter as the launch date with Sprint was after the end of the reporting period.  We do expect Palm to disclose how many units it has either sold or shipped to date.  Analysts are looking for -$0.62 EPS on $80.6 million in revenue.  If Palm offers guidance for the current quarter, those estimates are -$0.30 EPS and $279 million in revenue.  The key may hinge on when Palm intends to get back to  profitability as analysts are looking for losses through the end of Fiscal 2010 (May-end).  With much more than a tenfold rise and a whopping short interest, Palm will be the ultimate trader battleground stock to watch.

Accenture Ltd. (NYSE: ACN), the IT and management consulting and outsourcing operation, is expected to post $0.64 EPS on $5.2 billion in revenue.  While that will be close to a 20% drop in revenues, analysts are looking for growth to resume in 2010.  With shares having closed at $31.43 and being in the middle of their 52-week trading range, this one has room to swing either way.

Micron Tech Inc. (NYSE: MU), the largest U.S. DRAM maker, is expected to post -$0.42 EPS on $1.18 billion in revenue.  If the company gives guidance, it is expected to post -$0.29 EPS and $1.33 billion in revenues for the next quarter.  Shares have recovered more than 200% from the lows, and they could rally another 50% before hitting a new 52-week high.  This stock still has traders and investors alike stumped due to the serial disappointments from the company.  As noted in the world of DRAM, it has all the same characteristics of all other commodities with the sole exception that prices never really goes up very much.  Analysts are still looking for losses out through 2010.

Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) is on deck as another homebuilder reports earnings.  Shares did close up over 4.5% as investors decided to take a dismal new home sales number for May as a positive because of hopes that the summer could be strong.  Analysts are looking for -$0.64 EPS on $597.5 million in revenue.  The next quarter is the most important as it includes the summer selling season and estimates are -$0.56 EPS and $700.6 million in revenue.  At $7.82, its 52-week trading range is $3.42 to $16.90.

ConAgra Foods, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) is likely to have a large impact on other food distribution giants.  Estimates are $0.42 EPS and $3.33 billion in revenue.  With shares close to $20.00, its 52-week trading range is $13.52 to $23.12.

Finish Line (NASDAQ: FINL) continues to be a huge dilemma: a poor economy, yet everyone needs their athletic shoes.  The question is the buyers go to the company or to co its mpetitors, or even to discounters.  Analysts are expecting $0.01 EPS on $273.1 million in revenue.  After a 4% drop to $7.36 on Wednesday, the 52-week range is $3.42 to $12.43.

Jackson Hewitt Tax Service Inc. (NYSE: JTX) has bounced over 100% from the lows, but many still consider it a troubled stock. We have estimates at $1.68 EPS and $144.5 million in revenue.  Be advised that the coming quarter is the throwaway quarter because of the way the tax season falls.  With shares at $5.96, its 52-week range is $2.80 to $17.83.

TIBCO Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TIBX), the infrastructure software player, is on deck to report and shares have been trading above-average trading volume in the last 5-day period into earnings.  Estimates are $0.09 EPS and $139.35 million in revenues, and next quarter estimates are $0.10 EPS and $146.3 million in revenues.  At $6.45, this stock is between its 52-week range of $3.45 to $8.78.

All estimates are from Thomson Reuters and may be slightly different by the time Thursday morning gets there due to last minute estimate changes from analysts.

Jon C. Ogg
June 24, 2009

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618