What to Watch For in Caterpillar Earnings

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By Chris Lange Updated Published
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What to Watch For in Caterpillar Earnings

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Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) is scheduled to release its most recent quarterly results before the markets open on Thursday. The consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters are calling for $1.79 in EPS and $11.98 billion in revenue. The fourth quarter of last year reportedly had EPS of $0.83 and $9.57 billion in revenue.

Caterpillar benefited from a better global economy last year. Machinery orders rose, and the company should get a further boost from the recent changes to U.S. tax laws. Because U.S. companies can now expense certain capital purchases and a proposal to spend big on the nation’s infrastructure is reportedly on its way from the president’s desk, Caterpillar’s outlook for 2018 remains generally bright.

But the company remains involved in a major dispute with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service over how it accounts for overseas profits. The company runs virtually all sales and profits through a Swiss subsidiary and pays an effective tax rate as low as 4%, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal. Caterpillar has followed this practice since 1999, but if it loses to the IRS, its back tax bill could be as much as $2 billion.

Excluding Wednesday’s move, Caterpillar had outperformed the markets with its stock up 7.5% year to date. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock is up about 79%.

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Prior to the release of the earnings report, a few analysts weighed in on Caterpillar:

  • Barclays has a Buy rating with a $180 price target.
  • Seaport Global Securities has a Buy rating and a $195 price target.
  • Citigroup has a Neutral rating with a $185 target price.
  • Credit Suisse has an Outperform rating with a $192 target.
  • Wells Fargo has an Outperform rating with a $200 target.
  • Berenberg has a Buy rating and a $200 price target.
  • Merrill Lynch has a Buy rating with a $189 price target.
  • JPMorgan has an Overweight rating with a $200 price target.
  • BMO Capital Markets has a Buy rating with a $195 price.

Shares of Caterpillar traded down 0.9% to $167.88 on Wednesday, with a consensus analyst price target of $169.43 and a 52-week range of $90.34 to $173.24.

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About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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