AEP Double Stumble: Stock Offering & Earnings Warning (AEP)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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burning-money-pic38American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) has done a dual dig on itself after the close, and it was on top of a bad market day.  The company has just lowered earnings guidance and its cap-ex guidance, while simultaneously announcing the pricing of a securities offering.

The utility has revised its 2009 ongoing earnings guidance to a new range of between $2.75 and $3.05 EPS, down from a prior range of $3.00 to $3.40.  Thomson Reuters (First Call) had estimates at $3.14 EPS.  The company is not providing guidance for 2010 or beyond.  The company said this recognizes current operating and economic factors and also reflects dilution from the company’s planned issuance of new equity.

The company further noted that it had committed to make a revision once it knew the impact of the regulatory decision on the Electricity Security Plan in Ohio and once it knew more about the impact the economic downturn on operations.  The order does significantly eliminate current rate uncertainty in a state that is home to approximately 20% of it 5 million-plus customers and contributes more than 30% of the retail revenues from utility operations.  It further noted continued and expected weakness in commercial electricity usage as the weak economy has cut power demand, but recent rate increases in Ohio, Indiana, Oklahoma and Virginia will help offset some of the economic impact on earnings.

To offset revenue weakness, AEP is reducing its capital budget for 2010 to $1.8 billion from its prior capital budget of $3.4 billion. Discretionary projects are being deferred until the economic climate warrants the additional investment.

As far as the secondary offering, AEP plans to offer approximately 50 million shares of common stock in a registered secondary public offering with an extra over-allotment option of up to 7.5 million additional shares.  This will raise in the vicinity of $1.25 billion as of current prices before fees and the net proceeds will be used to reduce the company’s debt.  Joint book-running managers are Credit Suisse, J.P.Morgan, Barclays, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley & Co. Inc.

AEP closed down about 4.5% at $25.08 today, and shares are trading down around $24.10 in after-hours trading.  Its 52-week trading range is $24.07 to $45.95.

Jon C. Ogg
March 30, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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