Why The Markets May Fall

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Over the last three months, the Dow, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq are up between 4% and 5%.

But, much of the corporate news is getting worse.

Oil stocks are under pressure. With crude below $55, that may not improve. A lot of the market’s move last year owe to big moves in Exxon (XOM), Conoco (COP), and Chevron (CVX).

Wall St. seems to be concerned about Detroit. GM (GM) had a huge run last year, up more than any other component in the Dow. Ford (F) has not been able to muster much in terms of investor enthusiasm. Investors are troubled that analysts forecasts a drop in overall vehicle sales this year, and the rising Toyota market share.

Big chip companies are under pressure. AMD (AMD) has warned that Q4 will be dirt. This took its stock down 11%. And, if the short-fall was triggered by a price war with Intel (INTC), what does that mean for the larger company’s shares.

With the world’s largest business software company, SAP (SAP) warning on earnings, the markets are concerned that enterprise software sales are slowing. That, in turn, is hurting rival Oracle (ORCL).

Wal-Mart (WMT) can hardly get out of its own way. Ditto for Home Depot (HD). The concern about these companies tends to weigh on retail like an anchor.

And, of course, the cell phone industry, including Texas Instruments (TXN) and Motorola (MOT)  is sinking on concerns that almost all handset sales are poor margin deals.

That pretty much leaves Apple (AAPL) to keep the markets moving up. If they only understood that, the feds would leave him alone.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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