Cheap Bubbles?

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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From Ticker Sense

So why are the comparatively cheap mega-stocks cheap? The 26 companies that make up the top 30 percent of the MSCI Europe Index include 12 financial institutions, five energy companies and four drugmakers — industries that also figure among the U.S.biggies.

Moreover, these stocks are cheap for well-known reasons. “Oil growth is expected to moderate, financials are at the peak of a boom or a bubble [emphasis added], and pharma has few blockbuster drugs in the pipeline,” Lapthorne says. “These guys are hiding the fact that there isn’t much at reasonable value to buy.”

A recent article from Bloomberg News discussed that while stocks appear cheap overall, if you strip out the largest of the large cap stocks, the market’s overall P/E ratio rises substantially. While we have no problems with that argument, we do take issue with the explanation in the article for why some of these stocks are cheap. As quoted above, one analyst says that the financials are cheap because they, “…are at the peak of a boom or a bubble.”

Since when do bubbles imply cheap valuations?

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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