IBM Earnings Lack Significant Upside (IBM)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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IBM (NYSE:IBM) has posted earnings at $1.68 EPS on $24.1 Billion in revenues, versus First Call estimates of $1.67 EPS & $24.07 Billion in revenues; Big Blue usually holds off on formal guidance and gives some data in its conference calls, but estimates next quarter are $2.60 EPS & $27.7 Billion in revenues. 

Shares closed up 1.3% today, less than 2% under multi-year highs, but shares are down about 1% after the report.

The one number we hone in on for the future is Big Blue’s backlog, and that came in flat to last quarter at $116 Billion and up $7 Billion year over year.  If that sounds familiar the backlog last quarter was up $7 Billion from Q2 2006 at $116 Billion.  It is not expected that IBM will have made major share buybacks in the compared to Q2.  The company’s total gross profit margin was 41.3 percent in the 2007 third quarter compared with 42.0 percent in the 2006 period and its tax rate fell to 28.0% from 30.0% last year. The cash balance was $13.8 billion at the end of the third quarter.

"Our outstanding services results this quarter enabled us to stay on track toward our objective of accelerated earnings per share growth through 2010, while we work through a transition in our hardware business," said Samuel J. Palmisano, IBM chairman, president and chief executive officer. "Our year-to-date performance underscores the strength of major elements of our long-term roadmap, including revenue growth, margin expansion, and continued success in emerging market countries and in the integration of our acquisitions."

Jon C. Ogg
October 16, 2007

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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