China Heads Toward “Recession”

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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ChinaSince China has grown so fast over the last decade, that the definition of "recession" may be different than it is in the US or EU.

China’s growth slowed to 10.1% in the last quarter. That means the economy has been losing its acceleration for more than a year.

Bloomberg writes that “China needs much faster growth than an average Western country as it has to generate 10 million jobs a year,” said Tao Dong, chief Asia economist at Credit Suisse Group AG in Hong Kong. “Eight percent growth in China is equivalent to a recession. Below nine percent would make the authorities quite nervous.”

Of course, a sharp drop in GDP in China would mean that imports from countries, especially the US, may begin to fall off. It begins a great circle of faltering economies around the world which could cause a recession as deep as the one in 1973/1974. The signs are there. Plummeting real estate values. Overextended credit. The world’s fast growing country’s losing their steam

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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