eBay Guidance Poses Performance & Valuation Questions (EBAY)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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eBay LogoeBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) posted non-GAAP earnings of $0.38 EPS on $2.24 billion in revenues.  Thomson Reuters had estimates for the online auction giant pegged at $0.37 EPS and $2.14 billion in revenues.  The guidance for the company came in at $0.38 to $0.40 non-GAAP EPS and $2.2 to $2.3 billion in revenues for the current Q4 period.  After the run-up we have seen, that is not going to please even the most bullish fans of the stock as Thomson Reuters has estimates of $0.40 EPS and $2.26 billion in revenues.

As far as how this compares, the net income was down about 29% and margins are down to 28.4%; yet that is a year-over-year gain of more than $100 million in revenues.

The Payments business unit, or PayPal etc., reported a strong quarter with $688.1 million in revenue, an increase of 15% year over year.  Active registered accounts reached 78.0 million, an increase of 19% year over year.  The Marketplaces business unit (eBay, Shopping.com, StubHub, Kijiji and other e-commerce sites) recorded $1.4 billion in revenue, a 1% year-over-year decline.

Skype continued to grow and the unit contributed $185.2 million in revenue for the quarter, representing 29% year-over-year growth. Skype added 40.3 million registered users during the quarter and ended the period with more than 520.8 million registered users.  As a reminder, eBay has a pending deal to sell 65% of Skype and the status on that may be updated today, but eBay noted “that is expected to close in the fourth quarter.”

This stock had already overly participated in the market rally.  Shares closed down 0.1% at $25.03 today after hitting a 52-week high of $25.80 earlier in the day.  With the soft guidance seen, it is of little surprise at all that shares are down over 8% at $22.90 in the initial after-hours reaction.

JON C. OGG
OCTOBER 21, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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