Ebay (EBAY) Earnings: Expecting Nothing And Getting It

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Water_liliesWall St. had low expectations for Ebay’s (EBAY) fourth quarter. For the period Ebay is expected to report earnings of $.39 a share on revenue of $2.1 billion, according to consensus estimates from FactSet Research. In the same period last year, Ebay posted earnings of $.45 on revenue of $2.18 billion.

The lack of enthusiasm shows. Ebay shares trade at just over $13, down from a 52-week high of $33.47.

Those who were prepared to be disappointed had their way. Ebay posted fourth quarter revenue of $2.04 billion. It posted net income on a GAAP basis of $367 million or $0.29 per share. EPS was off 29% from the same period in 2007.

Ebay’s core auction business was badly damaged. It has $1.27 billion in revenue, equating to a 16% year-over-year decline.

As expected, PayPal continued to do relatively well but not well enough to save the rest of the firm. The payment business had $623 million in revenue, an increase of 11% year-over-year. Net total payment volume for the quarter was $15.99 billion, an increase of 14% year-over-year.

Ebay’s odd step-child Skype had $145 million in revenue for the quarter, representing 26% year-over-year growth. Skype added 35 million new users during the quarter and ended the period with more than 405 million registered users. Since most Skype customers use the service for free, all those extra people represent more cost than revenue opportunity.

All in all, it was a dismal affair. The market beat Ebay’s shares like a rented mule, pushing them down over 6% after hours to $12.40.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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