Moody’s downgraded by one to two notches the long-term debt and deposit ratings for ten, and the issuer ratings for three, Italian financial institutions.The action was triggered to some extent by an earlier downgrade of Italy’s sovereign paper. The news is yet another in a long line of downgrades of both sovereign financial debt in Europe’s weakest economies. It will stand has yet one more reason global capital markets investors have insisted on higher yields to put money into the markets.
Moody’s reported:
BANK-SPECIFIC RATING CONSIDERATIONS
UniCredit
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2, in line with the Italian sovereign rating, from A3. The C- BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa2 was affirmed at its current level, which is in line with the sovereign rating. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks. Moody’s notes that despite UniCredit’s substantial international activities, its important exposure to its domestic market means that its standalone rating is constrained by the level of the sovereign rating, as is the case for other Italian banks rated by Moody’s.
UniCredit Leasing
UniCredit Leasing’s long and short-term issuer ratings were downgraded to Baa3/Prime-3 from Baa2/Prime-2. The outlook remains negative and reflects that of the parent UniCredit (Baa2; C-/baa2, negative).
According to Moody’s, the downgrade follows the downgrade of the parent bank, which reduces the ratings uplift for the issuer rating, despite Moody’s view of a very high probability of parental support from UniCredit.
Intesa Sanpaolo
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2, in line with the Italian sovereign rating, from A3, thus eliminating the notch of systemic support applied previously. The standalone BFSR was affirmed at C-, however this now maps to a standalone credit assessment of baa2 (previously baa1), also in line with the sovereign rating. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign. Moody’s notes that Intesa’s business is almost entirely domestic in nature, and as such its standalone rating is constrained by the sovereign rating, resulting in the lowering of the standalone credit assessment.
Banca CR Firenze (Carifirenze)
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2 with negative outlook. This is in line with both the parent’s (Intesa Sanpaolo) and the sovereign’s ratings. This rating action eliminated the two notches of parental support from Intesa Sanpaolo, previously incorporated into CR Firenze’s long-term deposit and debt ratings, given the now lower long-term rating of the parent, which forms the basis for assessing parental support. The bank’s C- BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa2, was not affected. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks.
Banca IMI
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2 from A3. This is in line with both the parent’s (Intesa Sanpaolo) and the Italian sovereign’s ratings. This rating action eliminated the two notches of parental support from Intesa Sanpaolo, previously incorporated into Banca IMI’s long-term deposit and debt ratings, given the now lower long-term rating of the parent, which forms the basis for assessing parental support. The bank’s C- BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa2, was not affected. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks.
Banca Monte Parma
Banca Monte Parma’s long-term deposit rating was downgraded to Baa2 from Baa1, directly following the downgrade of the ratings of its parent Intesa Sanpaolo. This rating action reduces to one from two notches the level of parental support from Intesa Sanpaolo, given the now lower long-term rating of the parent, which forms the basis for assessing parental support. The bank’s D+ BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa3, was unaffected. The outlook on all ratings remains negative, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks.
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro’s long-term Baa2 deposit rating was affirmed. The other ratings and the negative outlook are unaffected.
The affirmation is based on Moody’s assessment of a very high probability of parental support from BNP Paribas (A2; BFSR C-/BCA baa2, stable) and a high probability of systemic support, which results in two-notches of rating uplift from the ba1 standalone credit assessment. The uplift has not changed and now stems from parental support only — from one notch of parental support and one notch of systemic support previously — following the downgrade of Italy’s rating.
Cassa di Risparmio di Parma e Piacenza (Cariparma)
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2, in line with the Italian sovereign rating, from Baa1, thus eliminating the current one notch of systemic support. The bank’s C- BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa2, was not affected. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks. Our high expectation of parental support from Credit Agricole(CASA) does not actually result in any uplift for the banks’ ratings, given that Cariparma’s standalone credit assessment of baa2 is in line with CASA’s adjusted standalone credit assessment of baa2.
Banca Popolare Friuladria (Friuladria)
The long-term deposit and debt ratings were downgraded to Baa2, in line with the Italian sovereign rating, from Baa1, so reducing parental support from its parent, Cariparma, to one notch, given the now lower long-term deposit rating of the parent, which forms the basis for assessing parental support. The bank’s D+ BFSR, mapping to a standalone credit assessment of baa3 was not affected. The outlook is negative on all ratings, in line with the sovereign, and with other Italian banks.
Banca Carige
Banca Carige’s long and short-term deposit ratings were downgraded to Baa3/Prime-3 from Baa2/Prime-2. The other ratings and the negative outlook are unaffected.
The key driver for the one-notch downgrade of the deposit ratings is the downgrade of Italy. At this Baa2 rating level of the government, our assessment of a moderate probability of systemic support in the event of a financial crisis results in no uplift from the baa3 standalone credit assessment (from one notch of uplift previously), under our joint default analysis (JDA) methodology.
Credito Emiliano
Credito Emiliano’s long and short-term deposit ratings were downgraded to Baa3/Prime-3 from Baa2/Prime-2. The other ratings and the negative outlook are unaffected.
The one-notch downgrade of the deposit ratings follows the downgrade of Italy. At this rating level of the Italian government, our assessment of a moderate probability of systemic support in the event of a financial crisis provides no uplift from the baa3 standalone credit assessment (from one notch of uplift previously), under our joint default analysis (JDA) methodology.
GE Capital SpA
GE Capital Spa’s long-term deposit rating was downgraded to Baa2 from Baa1. The outlook remains negative.
According to Moody’s, the downgrade reflects the downgrade of Italy. GE Capital’s business is domestic and as such, its rating is constrained by the sovereign rating, despite parental support. In Moody’s view, parental support from General Electric Capital Corporation (rated A1/P-1) continues to be very high, but is likely to be linked to the longer-term prospects for the business in Italy. As a result, we have lowered the parental support uplift provided to the bank’s deposit rating to three from four notches. This uplift is based on our expectation of (i) a very high probability of parental support from General Electric Capital Corporation ; and (ii) low probability of systemic support for GE Capital Spa in the event of a financial crisis.
Cassa Depositi e Prestiti
The government-related issuer (GRI) Cassa Depositi e Prestiti’s long-term issuer and debt ratings have been downgraded to Baa2, with a negative outlook. This is at the same level as the Italian government, given its 70% government ownership and the strong financial and operational linkages with the government, reflected in its public policy function. The outlook is negative in line with the negative outlook on the sovereign.
Istituto Servizi Mercato Agricolo Alimentare (ISMEA)
The GRI ISMEA’s long-term issuer rating has been downgraded to Baa2, with a negative outlook. This is at the same level as the Italian government, given its full government ownership and the strong financial and operational linkages with the government, reflected in its public policy function. The outlook is negative in line with the negative outlook on the sovereign.