A Mixed 10-Year Treasury Auction Fails to Alter Outlook

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
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Wednesday was unusual in that the FOMC minutes from the March 19-20 meeting were released much earlier than expected. We could not help but wonder how that might impact the $21 billion ten-year Treasury Note auction today. The outcome seems to be mixed, and maybe immaterial if you are just watching stocks. The bid-to-cover ratio of 2.79 was slightly under the average, but the tendered amount was for over $58.6 billion. The auction went off at 1.795% for the 2.00% coupon based upon its price of $101.839.

Indirect bidders (foreign demand) were more active than normal with 37.3% of the auction. Banks and investment funds make up the direct bidders and their 29.1% of the auction was much larger than normal.

We currently show the 10-year Treasury yield at 1.78% and the 30-year Treasury yield looks to be 2.98%. The big issue remains that stocks are in a serious bull market. Bonds might not even matter right now, even if you consider that rates could rise handily ahead. We have the S&P up 1.2% at 1,588 and the DJIA up 0.9% at 14,810 at all time highs.

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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