Spain and Greece: Deficits Top 10%

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Spain’s deficit-to-GDP ratio was 10.6% in 2012 and Greece’s 10.0%. These figures are so large that no other nation in the euro area approaches them. With unemployment at levels above 25% in Greece and Spain, and without any stimulus planned, neither can improve. In terms for their financial positions, each quickly will get much worse.

The overall state of the euro area’s deficit problem improved by one measure. Eurostat reports:

In the Euro area the government deficit to GDP ratio decreased from 4. 2 % in 2011 to 3.7 % in 2012, and in the EU27 from 4.4 % to 4.0%.

The fact that Germany showed a budget surplus (up 0.2%) last year helped the overall 2012 number.

The new data will ramp up the conversation triggered by the International Monetary Fund over the weekend. The agency released a policy statement that attacked proponents of strict austerity:

The risk of “adjustment fatigue” is increasing, especially in Europe, with growing tensions over the fairness of adjustment.

“Fatigue” is not a strong enough term, as Greece and Spain already have reached levels of economic depression that are beyond their own capacities to repair.

The nations expected to be in dire shape this year included Ireland, Italy and Portugal, among others. Some signs in the Eurostat report show their deficit problems eventually may be manageable, and certainly could be so with carefully applied aid. However, on the other side of the issue, the data demonstrate beyond reasonable debate that Spain and Greece are in a class of their own. None of the repair measures that have been contemplated in a meaningful way toward the rescue of Europe is wide enough or broad enough to address them.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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