As Jefferson County Exits Chapter 9, Detroit Prepares for Bankruptcy

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Jefferson County, Ala., which entered Chapter 9 over a year ago, may have set a deal to exit via an agreement with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) and other lenders. The settlement comes just months before Detroit is likely to enter bankruptcy. The difference is that the decline of what was once the nation’s fifth largest city cannot be reversed, which makes the case much more dire, and perhaps one that cannot be solved under any circumstances.

According to The Birmingham News:

[T]he agreement means a reduction in the county’s sewer debt to $1.835 billion from $about 3.078 billion. JPMorgan will give up about $842 million of the $1.2 billion in sewer debt it holds. … In all, JPMorgan will give up about 88 percent of its total claims …

The number seems large, until it is compared to Detroit’s. The Wall Street Journal reports on plans for Detroit:

Detroit’s emergency manager plans to call unions and creditors to a meeting in mid-June amid signs he is laying the groundwork to take the city into bankruptcy within a matter of months.

Kevyn Orr, appointed by Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder in March to take control of the long-struggling city, plans to use the meeting to present a detailed restructuring plan for Detroit’s liabilities, which he says total about $17 billion.

There are dozens of ways to compare Jefferson County and Detroit. For one, the population of the county’s largest city — Birmingham — has declined over the past 20 years, as has Detroit’s. But Detroit’s obligations stretch across a huge swath of its debt, and just an important will effect the size of the city’s workforce and its legal promises to them.

The tactics Detroit may use include selling the contents of its art museum and perhaps some of the animals in its zoo. These make for great headlines, but do not get beneath the surface of the city’s problem.

Orr might assume, fairly, that bankruptcy will allow the chopping of pension plans for city workers and a massive reduction of workforce. It also may allow brutal negotiations with creditors. But, in the end, the exodus of Detroit’s citizens and companies will mean a tax base that will continue to drop closer to zero each year. Even though this caricature is an exaggeration, no other city as large as Detroit can be said to face problems even close to the ones it faces.

Detroit’s situation has been described as very different from Jefferson County’s. In reality, they are worlds apart.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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