What Do Nvidia’s Earnings Have to Be to Keep Its Stock Up?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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What Do Nvidia’s Earnings Have to Be to Keep Its Stock Up?

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24/7 Insights

  • Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) investors are increasingly concerned about the stock.
  • Will the anticipated growth in the next quarterly report be enough to boost the share price?

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) investors are increasingly concerned about its sharp run-up and have recently sold it down. A look at Wall Street consensus on revenue and earnings shows what professional investors believe, as long as hitting the numbers is enough to keep the stock rising.

So far this year, Nvidia’s share price is up 138% to $118. However, it has been down 8% in the past five days, reflecting anxiety about earnings. In the most recently reported quarter, revenue rose 262% to $26.0 billion. Per-share earnings rose 629% to $5.98.

The Wall Street consensus for the current quarter is for revenue to be $28.5 billion, slightly ahead of the most recently reported quarter. Nvidia earnings are expected to be $0.63 per share, compared to $0.27 a year ago. (The low numbers are due to a 10-for-one stock split.)

Consensus numbers are often inadequate to calm investors, so it is worth looking at the highest estimate among analysts. According to the 38 analysts who posted data at Yahoo! Finance, the high revenue estimate is $30.5 billion and earnings of $0.71. If Nvidia hits those high numbers, it will have a substantial blowout quarter.

As the market seems to be rotating from the mega-cap tech stocks into smaller caps and bonds, Nvidia’s figures may not matter, regardless of how good they are. That will be a time for people who like to buy unexpected dips to jump in.

Be sure to grab a copy of our “The Next Nvidia” report for other great AI stock ideas.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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