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Live: AppLovin (APP) Beats Earnings But Shares Sink

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By Joel South Updated Published

Key Points

  • Self-service platform launch could catalyze new advertiser onboarding and margin expansion in H2 2025.

  • Investors will focus on AXON model updates and the full exit from games business this quarter.

  • Web advertising remains under-penetrated, with less than 0.1% of TAM reached as of Q1.

Live Updates

Five Conference Call Quotes That Caught Our Attention Tonight

  • “We are confident we can sustain 20 % – 30 % year-over-year growth driven by just gaming.” — Adam Foroughi, CEO

  • “On October 1 2025 we plan to open the AXON Ads Manager on a referral basis, perfectly timed for the holiday season.” — Foroughi

  • “During the quarter, revenue increased by a very healthy 77 % from last year to approximately $1.216 billion, while adjusted EBITDA nearly doubled, achieving an 81 % margin.” — Matt Stumpf, CFO

  • “Our strategy is simple: build world-class products, launch them when they meet our high bar and compound from there.” — Foroughi

  • “We have one of the most lucrative financial models the world has ever seen, and we’re very good performance marketers.” — Foroughi

We'll post an Update Later with Thoughts on Applovin's Earnings Call

Applovin’s conference call starts now. You can register to listen in here.

We will be listening in to Applovin’s conference call so posts will be limited. If you leave this tab open a new post should automatically post later with our summary of the call.

We thank you for joining us today for this review of Applovin’s Q2 earnings. We’re hosting several live blogs on 24/7 Wall St., so if you’re looking for analysis of your favorite stocks make sure to come back!

 

Advertising is Becoming a Battleground

AppLovin continues to trade down about 7% after hours. It’s worth noting that Unity reported before the market opened today and initially saw its shares up 10% at the open, but by midday shares were down more than 10%.

The results of Meta have likely poured lighter fluid on expectations of what AI-frst advertising stocks can deliver in the near-term.

Still, it’s interesting to see this battle where results are causing wild swings in share prices of companies in the ad space.

Wild After Hours Price Action

And now shares are testing lows again! Applovin shares are down 8% as of 4:36 p.m. ET. This is some fairly wild volatility. The company’s conference call starts in 24 minutes, we’ll see if that calms after hours jitters.

That's More Like it...

We were perplexed by the massive drop in Applovin shares. Earnings was a beat last quarter and on guidance. It’s a stock that has seen significant gains but results seemed perfectly fine. 

Shares are now down 2.5%, which seems more in line with what Applovin reported. We’ll continue monitoring news on the company.

AppLovin Quarter in More Detail

APP | AppLovin Q2’25 Earnings Highlights:

  • Adj. EPS: $2.39 [✅]; UP +168% YoY
  • Revenue: $1.26B [✅]; UP +77% YoY
  • Adj. Gross Margin: 81% [✅]; UP +900 bps YoY
  • Net Income: $0.82B [✅]; UP +164% YoY
  • Free Cash Flow: $0.77B; UP +73% YoY

Q2’25 Outlook:

  • Revenue: $1.32B – $1.34B [➖]
    • Guidance reflects continued strong demand for AppLovin’s marketing platform and expected growth in user engagement.
    • Management anticipates ongoing investments in technology and marketing to drive future growth.

Q2 Segment Performance:

  • Apps Revenue: $400M [➖]; [UP/DOWN]
  • Marketing Solutions Revenue: $859M [➖]

Other Key Q2 Metrics:

  • R&D Expenses: $44.0M [✅]; DOWN -56% YoY
  • Effective Tax Rate: 12.7% (vs. 5.3% YoY)
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $1.19B; UP +159% YoY

CEO Commentary:

  • Harris K.: “Our strong performance in Q2 reflects the effectiveness of our marketing platform and our commitment to innovation. We are excited about the future and the opportunities that lie ahead.”

CFO Commentary:

  • David Hsiao: “The significant growth in our revenue and net income demonstrates our ability to scale efficiently while maintaining strong margins. We remain focused on delivering value to our shareholders.”

Other Executives:

  • Emelyne Interior, VP of Marketing: “The strategic initiatives we implemented are yielding positive results, and we are well-positioned to capitalize on market trends.”

Guidance

Guidance for Q3 is $1.33B at the midpoint, that is above expectations of $1.3 billion.

Shares are Down 12%

Shares are down 12%, we’ll continue looking through earnings.

APP Earnings Are Out

EPS of $2.39 is a beat.

Revenue of $1.26 billion is a beat.

APP Up 3% Today - Earnings are Imminent

We expect AppLovin earnings at about 4:10 p.m. ET. Shortly after that expect us to post several pieces of analysis on their earnings release.

As a reminder, all you have to do is simply leave this page open and new posts will appear automatically. 

Upgrades on APP

A few weeks ago BTIG raised its price target on AppLovin to $483 from $480, reaffirming a Buy rating ahead of the company’s Q2 earnings report on August 6. The stock currently trades at $389.03.

According to the firm’s latest industry checks, AppLovin maintained or extended its leadership position in the mobile gaming segment during the quarter. Analyst commentary pointed to above-peer growth across a sector that showed clear signs of recovery, adding to the bullish tone.

BTIG reiterated AppLovin as a Top Pick, citing ongoing share gains and operational leverage within the company’s AXON ad platform.

Solid field intel suggests AppLovin outperformed peers in Q2, reinforcing bullish positioning into earnings.

Unity Sinks and AppLivin Roars

AppLovin competitor Unity opened the day up more than 10% after reporting earnings, but saw shares sink into midday trading. Shares have rebounded slightly, but Unity is still down 6% today.

Investors in AppLovin don’t seem to be too bothered by Unity’s earnings, shares of AppLovin are up 2.5% as of 2:40 p.m. ET.

Big money moving in before earnings

How APP Performed After Recent Quarterly Earnings

AppLovin has delivered four straight EPS beats, with especially strong post-earnings moves in Q3 and Q4 2024. The stock has responded positively to each report despite volatility in the most recent quarter.

Quarter EPS Surprise 1-Day Move 7-Day Move 14-Day Move
Q1 2025 +15.97% +11.88% +19.40% +26.62%
Q4 2024 +37.30% +24.02% +7.92% –31.73%
Q3 2024 +34.41% +46.27% +72.70% +94.93%
Q2 2024 +21.92% +14.20% +28.52% +30.97%

AppLovin (Nasdaq: APP | APP Price Prediction) will report Q2 earnings after the close. Wall Street expects another quarter of double-digit revenue growth as the company sharpens its focus on ad tech following the sale of its gaming business. With its core AXON platform now supporting both gaming and emerging web-based ad campaigns, this report could provide critical updates on new self-serve initiatives and broader platform adoption. Investors will be watching for signs that AppLovin’s model-driven growth trajectory remains intact and scalable into 2026.

We’ll be updating this live blog with news and analysis right after AppLovin’s earnings hit the newswires. To receive updates, all you have to do is leave this page open, and updates will post automatically.

Consensus Estimates 

Quarterly Estimates

  • Revenue: $1.22 billion
  • EPS (Normalized): $2.32

Full-Year Forecasts

  • FY 2025 Revenue: $5.48 billion
  • FY 2025 EPS: $8.91

This implies:

  • Revenue growth: +13% YoY (vs. $1.08B last year)
  • EPS growth: +98% YoY (vs. $1.17 last year) for Q2
  • FY Revenue growth: +16% YoY (vs. $4.71B in FY24)
  • FY EPS growth: +56.6% YoY (vs. $5.69 in FY24)

Keys to Watch 

Axon 2 momentum and efficiency gains
Management said Axon 2 drove “meaningfully better monetization” and remains early in deployment, with SDKs available for both iOS and Android. Continued expansion is expected to fuel outsized software margins and revenue acceleration.

Software revenue mix and margin trajectory
CEO Adam Foroughi reiterated the company’s expectation for “35 to 40% software segment margin in 2025,” up from 33% in Q1. This reflects better ad targeting, conversion rates, and cost discipline across the ad stack.

Developer adoption and retention
CFO Herald Chen highlighted “record retention of our Axon customers” in Q1 and strong renewals in the developer base. Investors will watch for evidence of broader Axon adoption or net new logo growth in this segment.

App portfolio capital efficiency
Management said adjusted EBITDA margins in apps improved 1,100bps YoY despite lower revenue. The team is focused on managing UA spend and investing in fewer titles with higher ROI.

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Photo of Joel South
About the Author Joel South →

Joel South covers large-cap stocks, dividend investing, and major market trends, with a focus on earnings analysis, valuation, and turning complex data into actionable insights for investors.

He brings more than 15 years of experience as an investor and financial journalist, including 12 years at The Motley Fool, where he served as an investment analyst, Bureau Chief, and later led the Fool.com investing news desk. He has also co-hosted an investing podcast and appeared across TV and radio discussing market trends.

Live: AppLovin (APP) Beats Earnings But Shares Sink

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