Are Weekly Jobless Claims Becoming Impossible for the Markets to Rely Upon?

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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The U.S. Labor Department has long had criticism of its calculations, reporting and even its computer systems. That has been true under all administrations in our lifetimes, and may be true under all administrations going forward. Now the weekly jobless claims report is another mystery, despite being among the lowest readings in six years. It turns out that the two states that did not report claims last week are still out of the tabulation business in jobless claims.

That error last week created a very artificially low reading of 292,000, and that figure was revised higher by only 2,000 on Thursday. It matters because it may have artificially made it the smallest claims figure since before the recession.

This week’s reading also was missing two states and was reported as 309,000. Dow Jones had estimates of 330,000, and Bloomberg had estimates of 341,000, but the truth is that estimates just do not matter if you have one large state and one small state not counting their claims.

If the Labor Department cannot get its numbers straight, then the reality is that the markets simply will ignore these numbers until they are tabulated properly. Let’s just hope that they get their numbers straight before the September unemployment and payrolls report, which will be released on Friday, October 4.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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