Electronic Arts: Earnings Weighed Against Valuation (ERTS, TTWO)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Electronic_arts_logo_2Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS) has reported its video game numbers for investors today.  The company’s net was -$0.30 in GAAP EPS on $804 million in revenues (misleading numbers).  Before a $231 million deferred revenue number, the company said non-GAAP revenues were $609 million.  Its non-GAAP EPS was $-0.42 EPS.  Estimates on a non-GAAP basis were $639.8 million and -$0.33 EPS.

The video game publishing giant also gave guidance for fiscal March 31,2009.  It sees non-GAAP EPS $1.30 to $1.70.  That is up from $1.06 thislast year and compares with estimates of $1.59 EPS.  It put non-GAAPnet revenues at $5.0 to $5.3 Billion, which is up from $4.02 Billionthis last year and compares to estimates of $5.15 Billion. 

The companyis also using an effective 28% tax rate guidance for projections ahead.  Unfortunately, there was no word given over its Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) buyout ambitions.

EA Shares closed up almost 3% in regular trading at $47.40, but itlooks like shares are back down to about $46.00 in after-hourstrading.  Its 52-week trading range is $43.13 to $61.62.

Even if we take the mid-point of forward guidance and use the FirstCall estimate, you get a forward P/E ratio range (using the $47.40close) of 31.6 or 21.81.  Even if we use the high-end of the rangegiven in case the company is trying to set the bar low we get a forwardP/E ratio of nearly 28.

Unfortunately for the company, unless it can bring these new propertieson or make a great bolt-on buy, this stock is still looking ratherexpensive on the remedial surface analysis considering the currenteconomic climate.  If that stock price slides, then the valuations willcome more in-line with a slow economy and one where no new major gamingplatforms are on the immediate horizon.

Jon C. Ogg
July 29, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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