Can Forbes Keep Its Enterprise Value From Falling?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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95129cIn 2006, Elevation Partners, the same venture firm which bailed out Palm (PALM) and counts U2 lead singer Bono as a managing director, put about $275 million into Forbes to get a 40% piece of the media company according to GigaOm and The New York Times. That would have put a price tag on Forbes at $700 million.

It may not be worth that much today and its value is almost certainly falling in the current advertising environment.

Based on Publishers Information Bureau numbers, Forbes will have about $275 million in advertising revenue this year. Because those numbers are calculated at the open rate card, the company probably gets about 75% or that, or $200 million. So far this year, Forbes advertising pages are off 16%.

Based on the numbers of subscribers Forbes has and assuming that the magazine gets $20 a year for each one, circulation revenue should be about $120 million. Taking the advertising revenue from TheStreet.com (TSCM) and multiplying it by three, which adjusts for the difference in their online audiences (using ComScore data) and internet ad income should be about $60 million. That puts the total annual revenue of Forbes at $380 million.

Using the same multiple of sales that TSCM has as a public company, and Forbes is worth about $500 million,  a but more than two-third of its valuation in 2006.

Like Fortune and BusinessWeek, Forbes maintains a large editorial staff and a number of people who run the business. It is not possible to say whether the company makes money because it is private, but as advertising falls, keeping the enterprise value of the firm up will become more difficult each month.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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