Twitter Market Value Tops Target and CBS

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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With a huge price surge driven in part by strong results from Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB), the market value of Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) has pressed above those of Target Corp. (NASDAQ: TGT), the nation’s second largest retailer, and CBS Corp. (NYSE: CBS), one of America’s largest media companies. So, with the recent increase in its market capitalization, Twitter, soon to report earnings, has to bear the burden of a promise that it may be unable to deliver.

Keep in mind that even if Twitter’s revenue doubles in 2014, a possibility based on its current growth rate, sales will only reach $1.4 billion. The company lost $65 million in the third quarter, on revenue of $165 million. The social network has almost 250 million users, less than a quarter of the number that Facebook has.

Twitter has been unable to convince most of Wall Street that advertisers will have much to do with it. Marketers can sponsor Tweets, but the revenue this has driven is tiny. Advertisers may believe that the lengths of the messages they can deliver are too short. Twitter has gained notoriety as a gathering place for celebrities, and more recently prostitutes. However, fame does not necessary translate into revenue.

With nearly the same market cap as Twitter, CBS posted revenue of $3.6 billion in the third quarter. Net income from continuing operations was $469 million. Among people who visit Internet websites, CBS properties had 76 million unique visitors from desktop computers in the United States in December, based on data from comScore. That placed it ninth among all Web businesses. Twitter, by comparable measure, had 39.7 million. The case for Twitter’s value is that it eventually will become larger and much more profitable than CBS.

Target had 37.6 million visitors to its sites last month from desktops. Among retailers, that puts it second only to Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) at 53.1 million. Like most large retailers, Target operates on slim margins, and e-commerce threatens its brick-and-mortar business. However, its revenue will be nearly $75 billion this year, and its net income $5.5 billion.

Twitter, which can barely show it is a real business, has a long way to go as it tries to prove it is really worth $35 billion.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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