YouTube, With Few Subcribers, Has Troubled Future

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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YouTube, With Few Subcribers, Has Troubled Future

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Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) has disclosed results for its most recent quarter. Wall Street was unimpressed. What Alphabet did do that investors cheered was break out the revenue for huge video site YouTube. Although management did not say it directly, YouTube’s revenue came from advertising and had almost no contribution from subscriptions.

YouTube revenue rose 31% in the fourth quarter to $4.7 billion. Its primarily ad-supported model is susceptible to downturns in the ad markets, as is the Google ad search business. This makes it unlike Amazon Prime, Netflix and the new offerings from media giants like Disney. Their subscription businesses are relatively stable, with many customers subscribing for an entire year. Amazon and Netflix have over 100 million subscribers.

YouTube continues to be a hodgepodge of videos of varying quality, many of them short and poorly done. Ads often run ahead of these videos. The subscription offerings are barely visible. YouTube’s ad-free video and music product costs $11.99 a month. The premium videos are for relatively recent movies, along with a library of older films. However, the YouTube offering is not filled with programing it has produced itself, a hallmark of Netflix, Amazon, Disney and the new Apple product. Based on research that shows that subscribers to these other services are driven in part by programs produced exclusively for them, YouTube has very little to set it apart with anything investors can cheer in the future.

YouTube also has the problem of extremist and hate content. Alphabet has only been able to address these in part, and the severity of the challenge lingers.

YouTube’s revenue comes with challenges that its parent can’t overcome.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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