3 Momentum Retail Stocks Could Benefit Big From Falling Gas Prices

Photo of Lee Jackson
By Lee Jackson Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Despite some chatter from Wall Street pundits on the negatives of falling oil, and ultimately falling gasoline prices, most Americans are thrilled to see the huge savings each time they fill up. A new report from RBC estimates that with gasoline down about $0.46 per gallon over the past 12 months, that will equate to a savings of about $500 a year, which is huge for somebody making say, $50,000 per year. For lower income consumers who frequent dollar stores to maximize savings for their families and who drive older automobiles that require items from auto parts stores, some of the savings will shoot directly to those retailers.

Of the seven top stocks that RBC thinks should benefit, the following three are rated Outperform.

Advance Auto Parts Inc. (NYSE: AAP) makes the list, and auto-parts stores as a whole are having another fantastic year. The company is the largest automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, and it serves both the do-it-yourself and professional installer markets. As of July 2014, Advance operated 5,289 company-operated stores and 106 Worldpac branches, and it served approximately 1,400 independently owned Carquest branded stores in 49 states, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Canada. RBC likes the prospects so much, they feel the stock can trade to, and receive a higher forward multiple of 19 times earnings, versus the past three years 15 times.

Advance shareholders are paid a small 0.2% dividend. The RBC price target for the stock is $155. The Thomson/First Call consensus price target is $151. The stock closed trading on Wednesday at $149.37.

ALSO READ: Top Stocks Could See Big Year-End Buying as ‘Window-Dressing’ Picks

Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) had underperformed its rivals in the discount space this year, but a recent rally has pushed the stock back up. The company is still fighting Dollar General in an acquisition battle over Charlotte-based Family Dollar Stores. Dollar Tree currently has 4,777 stores in the United States and another 177 in Canada. It expands its square footage through new locations and tries to increase sales in existing stores in order to grow. With metrics bottoming and its core clientele improving along with the economy, the stock has good potential, especially should the acquisition be completed in a timely manner.

The RBC price target on Dollar Tree is $65, and the consensus target is $61.04. The stock closed Wednesday at $61.13 a share.

O’Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) has been riding the same positive wave that all the automotive parts retailers have. In fact, the current growth estimate for this year calls for earnings per share growth of 16.3%. Furthermore, the long-term growth rate is currently an impressive 15.6%, suggesting pretty good prospects for the long haul. Lastly, in terms of delivering consistent shareholder value, the company has posted 16 straight quarters of double-digit sales growth.

RBC has a $180 price objective, and the consensus target is posted at $178.89. The stock closed Wednesday at $177.46.

ALSO READ: Deutsche Bank’s U.S. Stock Selection Best Buy Ideas

These stocks have outperformed most sectors over the past two years in a big way, so investors may want to buy partial positions and look to fill in the balance on any move down. That said, with the economic tailwind provided to consumers from lower gasoline prices, they could continue the march higher through 2015.

Photo of Lee Jackson
About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618