Retail Stocks Fall Apart as Kohl’s, Macy’s and Gap Sell Off

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Retail Stocks Fall Apart as Kohl’s, Macy’s and Gap Sell Off

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[cnxvideo id=”625483″ placement=”ros”]Retailer shares have been unable to fully stabilize after sell-offs that accompanied their earnings for the 2016 holiday period. Some retailers shuttered stores. Others gave pessimistic guidance. The slide began in earnest again, as retail stocks got punished on Monday. Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS), Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS) and Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWM) were among the largest losers in the S&P 500.

The drop came as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) announced it would open a retail operation in Silicon Valley to ponder its future. No other retailer has a project that rivals this in scope of ambition.

Additionally, the drops came just days after J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP) closed 138 stores. Shares in the ancient retailer dropped to a 52-week low of $5.77, down 30% so far this year.

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The concern about these retailers has turned from store count and revenue attrition to balance sheets. J.C. Penney has $4.5 billion in long-term debt. Granted, some is not due for a decade, but the concern is that the retailer will not exist to make the principle payments. And several hundred million of the J.C. Penney obligations must be paid between now and the end of 2020. Next year, $265 million in senior notes come due, for example.

As a description of what has gone wrong in the industry, Bespoke’s experts wrote:

Finally, we would note that what is going on right now in retail is a fantastic example of Schumpeter’s “creative destruction.” In pursuit of profits, the new model of online commerce is winning because it’s flat-out more efficient. As it succeeds, the older, less efficient ways of selling goods to consumers are losing market share and crumbling. Over time, it’s this iterative process across industries that drives productivity, the ultimate source of higher standards of living. In a period when aggregate output per worker hour (labor productivity) has been cratering, we think the retail industry is a great example that there’s more going on beneath the surface than the headline labor productivity stats alone.

In other words, the industry is not only in great trouble, so are a number of people who work in it.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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